Are you planning to play blackjack soon? Whether you’re playing at an online casino or privately, it’s always a good idea to learn about the game beforehand. In a previous blog, you already learned about blackjack bets. Of course, if you aim to win, you might also want to know what your chances of winning are.
Blackjack is known for offering relatively high chances of winning compared to other card games like baccarat or poker. In blackjack, the house edge is only 0.5%. To win, the dealer relies as much on strategic thinking and luck as you do. Additionally, blackjack games have a high RTP (return to player) rate compared to many other casino games, often around 99%.
However, it’s useful to make optimal decisions during the game, such as drawing another card when your hand is under eight. Here you’ll find the basics about your chances of winning at blackjack.
Blackjack Probabilities Based on Hand
Overall, your chances of winning at blackjack are 42.22%. The house edge is 0.05%, which places the casino’s chances of winning at 49.10%. The probability of a draw is 8.48%.
Blackjack is a game of chance. Therefore, there isn’t a fixed probability, as it depends on the dealer’s specific cards and yours. Before placing a bet, you evaluate the probabilities based on your hand and the dealer’s face-up card. Assume you’ll lose if your hand exceeds 21 and the same principle applies to the dealer.
Thus, in each round, you estimate the probability that you or the dealer will lose. The weaker the dealer’s hand, the more likely they are to lose. For example, does the dealer have a two? In this case, the probability of the dealer busting is very high. The dealer needs to draw more cards to approach 21, and relatively more high cards remain in the deck.
Blackjack Probabilities Based on Bets
You can use bets like splitting, doubling down, and insurance in blackjack, but when should you use them? When is it wise to double down, that is, to request an additional card in exchange for doubling your bet? Here again, you decide based on your hand, the dealer’s card, and an estimate of the remaining cards.
Double Down
If you have nine points and the dealer has a low card like a six, you can confidently double your bet. There is little chance you will lose your hand with an additional card. However, there is a good chance the dealer will lose their hand. With a low card, the dealer needs a ten to improve their hand. If there are more high cards than low cards left in the deck, the dealer is likely to bust.
Split
With splitting, you make the same type of compromise. In the case of two fours, two fives, and two tens, it is not wise to split the cards, as these numbers are less likely to win individually than together. On the other hand, a hand consisting of two eights, two sevens, or two nines is interesting to split, as it gives you two chances to end up around a favourable number like eighteen. This also applies to aces, which can be worth both 1 and 11.
Insurance / Even Money
An insurance bet, where the dealer shows an ace and you insure part of your bet in case they have a blackjack, is statistically almost never useful. The chances of the dealer having a blackjack are slim, as few cards can actually complete it. The same goes for the “Even Money” bet.
Playing Blackjack Online on Mobile Devices
Play your favourite blackjack games on our casino from mobile devices. This means you can play anytime on your smartphone, tablet, and PC. An internet connection and a browser are the only requirements!
Free Online Blackjack Games
You can safely test blackjack, as all non-live blackjack games are also available in demo mode. This way, you can try them out first without betting, but with virtual money instead.
Discover the different blackjack games at Casino777.be and take a look at other casino games.
By choosing Casino777.be, or another online casino, you can enjoy a multitude of quality slot machines. Whatever your decision, be sure to gamble responsibly. At 777.be, player wellbeing is our number one priority. Check out our page on responsible gaming advice and tools for more information.
